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Expert Picks
This one is moving to 3, so I highly recommend locking in the win condition now if you have not already. Miami is the better, more complete team here. I think that Iowa St. has had a bit of an easy road to this game. Their last game against Wisco showed how one dimensional that Big 10 team really was. Now we will see how the Big 12 defensive based teams do again, and while I do like ISU to lower the total, I still think the overall effectiveness of this Canes squad wins out. Larranaga has this team exactly where he wants them, which is in the paint and playing effectively close to the basket. This should be the deciding factor, as their FG% will be too high to deal with. Lay the 2.5 with Miami
I didn’t expect the Cyclones to make it out of the first round, let alone making it to the second weekend. They played against two defensive oriented teams. Now they have to face the Hurricanes who are offensively oriented. The Hurricanes are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six games. This spread is way too low. Lay the points.
You may want to take my pick here with many grains of salt because I thought both these teams would lose in Round 1 -- and I'm a Hurricanes fan. They can go so cold from three-point range at times that I expected a loss to much bigger USC, but here they are and it's a veteran-laden, guard-heavy team. Maybe the ACC wasn't so bad after all this season. T.J. Otzelberger has worked a miracle at Iowa State, which was 2-22 last year under Steve Prohm. While both clubs have been great regarding turnovers, UM is a bit better with a +4.63 TO margin to rank fifth nationally. The Canes also own a +7.83 margin in points off giveaways. Finally, Miami will be able to get easier baskets because it can get out and run, and that's not really ISU's thing. Per Synergy Sports, the Hurricanes have the best transition offense in the nation, averaging 1.231 points per possession. Miami reaches its first-ever Elite Eight.