I was a bit frustrated when we couldn't get the cover against Auburn last time but I'm not shying away. The Tigers look a little shaky and they let Jacksonville State hang around far too long to calm any worries. Miami is a legit offense and I think they're going to test Auburn and potentially win this game. I like getting the +7 in a scenario like that, so I'll grab the points.

This is too many points for a Miami team with offensive options that can either hang in a track meet or cut into a lead quickly in the game's final minutes. The trio of Isaiah Wong, Charlie Moore and Kameron McGusty can overwhelm an opposing defense and while Walker Kessler has been elite at the rim, that's not where the Hurricanes are looking to establish their edge. Auburn's ceiling is much higher than Miami's, but the inconsistency through the year suggests betting on that ceiling against a quality opponent away from home is a shaky position.

Auburn has been rated too high since Feb. 5, going 3-8 ATS. The spread should be Auburn -4, so it’s an easy play for me. Miami is on the upswing, going 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven contests. The Hurricanes take smart shots and are hitting at a 47.7 percent rate. Miami was 19-14-1 ATS this season. There should be a fast pace set by both teams. Consider the Over as well, but the top play is taking the points with Miami.

I didn't think Miami would get past USC, but the Hurricanes advanced despite 1-of-14 shooting from beyond the arc. Remarkably, they allowed USC to make 9 of 20 from deep and still survived. Now they face an Auburn team that blew out Jacksonville State but has gotten inconsistent play from its backcourt. The Hurricanes rank 12th nationally with 8.8 steals per game; they can disrupt Auburn's guards. They also have a proven coach who will have them well-prepared to defend Jabari Smith. Miami thrives in the underdog role (23-8-1 ATS run) and should give the Tigers a real scare.