The Aggies' only chance to play in the NCAA tournament is a Mountain West Conference Tournament championship. Colorado State is 24-4 and locked into an NCAA bid. The Aggies are completely healthy and look to avenge two regular-season losses to the Rams. They have a solid team worthy of an upset.

This is a Colorado State team that I believe can win the Mountain West Tournament, and it starts tonight with a win over Utah State. The Rams have already beaten the Aggies twice this season, once by five points and more recently by 11 points on the road. Utah State is coming off a game yesterday against Air Force where they shot 42.9% from the three-point line, which should regress towards their average of 34.8% in tonight's contest. The Aggies have trouble defending the three-point line, while Colorado State shoots 36.6% from downtown. I like the better team covering just over a possession here with fresh legs.

The Rams won both meetings this season, by five and 11 points, and I think they get the sweep tonight in the Mountain West Conference Tournament quarterfinals. Utah State handled Air Force on Wednesday with ease, but the Aggies are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four versus winning teams. Over their last eight games, the Aggies have defeated the three worst teams in the conference and lost to everyone else. Four of the five losses came by double digits. Lay the points.