Butler has seen four of its past five games decided by five points or fewer, and the outlier was a blowout loss to Marquette in its last game. The Bulldogs still appear to be a little overvalued in the market. Xavier is making its seeming annual push toward an NCAA bubble spot with three straight wins, including its first two Big East road victories. Forwards Naji Marshall and Tyrique Jones should give Butler matchup problems.

Buy low and sell high. Butler is 3-5 straight-up and 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight games while Xavier has won and covered its last three. But Butler is very well balanced, ranking 30th in defensive efficiency and 29th in offensive efficiency, while Xavier ranks 116th in offense and 22nd in defense. This looks like the perfect turning point for Butler, which started the year 15-1 with the only loss to Baylor and is 11-2 at home. Lay the points.