Both teams will be playing their fifth game within ten days. The high altitude of the venue will likely benefit the defending champions, especially since they will only have one day of rest. The Nuggets have improved their efficiency, shooting over 50% from the field in their last two victories. Mike Malone and his team have made the necessary offensive adjustments. Denver should be highly focused, given the outcome of the first two games in their home arena.

Denver has FINALLY woke up following a 2-0 deficit to the series. Look for the Nuggets to build on their momentum and take control of the series. I'm backing the ML as opposed to laying points.

Given how the series has shifted the past two games, do we expect Denver to drop a third straight game at home? This is a dominant home team - especially when something is truly at stake - with the heart of a champ, as demonstrated in Minnesota. Denver hasn't lost 3 in a row at home since the end of the 21-22 season. They were on a 15-1 run in the playoffs at home before being stunned by the Wolves in the opening games of this series. Wolves best game came w/o Gobert, which is problematic. KAT looks shook and passive and too much is on ANT's shoulders. DEN 1-4 ATS at home in playoffs, but they steal games late. As champs tend to do.

Was planning on taking today off picks-wise after every bad break possible mushroomed on me last night in a disaster. Of six picks I made, at one point thought I was gonna win five and in the span of about 45 minutes it all went bad. Who gets suspended a few hours before a freaking NHL playoff game (Avalanche) when at the morning skate? Ah well. But then I saw the DraftKings props trends for tonight -- which you can find in the daily premium newsletter I write if you have signed up -- and this popped out so will throw something down as Gordon shoots 3s much better at home as it is and has made multiple 3s in three straight games.

While pondering if any home edge (0-4!) is really meaningless in this series, we also must wonder about the momentum shift of the past two games that took place at Target Center. Aside from kicking away the home-court edge that they earned by winning the first pair in Denver, the T-wolves have some other concerns, as no one seemed willing or able to help out Anthony Edwards in either of the last two games, with disastrous consequences when Edwards scored only 19 in Game 3's 27-point loss. Even with Ant scoring 40 on Sunday, the supporting cast didn't help enough, either, in the 115-107 loss. The Nuggets switched gears in Minneapolis and this is a fair price tonight. Play Nuggets

New York has been riddled with injuries thus far. Alec Burks has seen an increase in minutes over the last two games. Burks has averaged 22 minutes and has scored 14 and 20 points in the last two contests. He’s a veteran and shown that he can gave the team some production off the bench.

New York just lost by 32 points. The Pacers are 2-8 SU off a home win of 20 points, or more. Yes, New York has been riddled with injuries, but they still opened as a two-and-a-half-point favorite despite the line moving down. The Knicks are a very resilient, grind-it-out team. Many may believe they’re gassed, which could be, but Brunson, Hart, and DiVincenzo all played less 33 minutes in that blowout. New York is 4-1 SU at home in the playoffs and 9-1 SU off a road loss of 10 points, or more.

Looking to fade TJ McConnell after the Point Guard posted his second double double of the series, which is all the more impressive considering hes only playing 21 MPG. Despite some big performances from McConnell it is very unlikely he has earned additional playing time keeping in mind that both he and Tyrese Haliburton are not nearly as effective without the ball. In addition to McConnell lacking the ability to stretch the court which makes him one dimensional and hard to play at crunch time. I look for the Knicks to slow things down as limit possessions as the series shifts back to New York.