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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past four college basketball seasons, Matt is up $887. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 254 NBA PICKS
    +2371.25
    RECORD: 158-96-0
    # 3 NBA EXPERT
    +2371.25
    158-96 IN LAST 254 NBA PICKS

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    Matt's Picks (4 Live)

    May 03 2024, 1:00 am UTC
    League
    New York
    @ Philadelphia
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +2371.25
    158-96 in Last 254 NBA Picks
    +2322
    102-48 in Last 150 NBA ML Picks
    +1843.5
    43-14 in Last 57 PHI ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Can the Sixers force a Game 7 vs. the Knicks? ...

    Pick Made: Thu 2:07 pm UTC
    May 03 2024, 10:40 pm UTC
    League
    San Francisco
    @ Philadelphia
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +1475.25
    115-62-1 in Last 178 MLB Picks
    +552.25
    45-27 in Last 72 MLB ML Picks
    +414.5
    9-3 in Last 12 SF ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Giants open a series in Philly on Friday. ...

    Pick Made: Thu 9:15 pm UTC
    May 03 2024, 11:00 pm UTC
    League
    Cleveland
    @ Orlando
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +2371.25
    158-96 in Last 254 NBA Picks
    +2322
    102-48 in Last 150 NBA ML Picks
    +2084
    41-10 in Last 51 CLE ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Jarrett Allen is likely out for Cleveland in Orlando. ...

    Pick Made: Thu 5:18 pm UTC
    May 03 2024, 11:05 pm UTC
    League
    Detroit
    @ N.Y. Yankees
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1475.25
    115-62-1 in Last 178 MLB Picks
    +552.25
    45-27 in Last 72 MLB ML Picks
    +1083.75
    41-22 in Last 63 DET ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Yankees could move Aaron Judge in the lineup. ...

    Pick Made: Thu 10:09 pm UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    May 03 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Boston
    1
    @ Toronto
    2
    +742.5
    10-3 in Last 13 NHL O/U Picks
    +965
    15-3-3 in Last 21 TOR O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Think I've gotten a colonoscopy more often in life (one) than I have played an Under 5.5 in an NHL game. But have to here with not only Auston Matthews out for Toronto but also Boston forward Danton Heinen, who had 17 goals and 19 assists during the regular season. He has five shots and an assist in the series. Here's hoping for 2-2 at the end of regulation because I'd really like to see OT and a Toronto win in front of that rabid fan base -- plus then we get a Game 7.

    Pick Made: Thu 4:44 pm UTC
    May 02 2024, 10:30 pm UTC
    League
    Milwaukee
    98
    @ Indiana
    120
    +2371.25
    158-96 in Last 254 NBA Picks
    +2322
    102-48 in Last 150 NBA ML Picks
    +2166.5
    51-18 in Last 69 MIL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Obviously a crazy number but it was -450 and might get back there if the Bucks are simply playing games with the notion that Giannis and Dame Lillard will play. It actually wouldn't shock me if Lillard did, but I can't believe the Greek Freak might risk serious injury that would already end Milwaukee's 2024-25 season. Besides, even if he did play, how remotely close to 100 percent? As a fan? Would love to see a Game 7 with a relatively healthy Bucks team. As a bettor? End it tonight.

    Pick Made: Thu 6:29 pm UTC
    May 02 2024, 5:05 pm UTC
    League
    N.Y. Yankees
    2
    @ Baltimore
    7
    +1475.25
    115-62-1 in Last 178 MLB Picks
    +361.5
    28-19 in Last 47 NYY ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Guess I understand why the Yankees are favored with Carlos Rodon looking very in form so far this season and it being the season debut of Kyle Bradish off injury for the Orioles. But Baltimore generally hammers lefties like Rodon as it ranks third in the majors in OPS vs. southpaws. Yanks closer Clay Holmes likely not available after pitching 1.2 innings last night.

    Pick Made: Thu 3:11 pm UTC
    May 02 2024, 4:10 pm UTC
    League
    Colorado
    4
    @ Miami
    5
    +1475.25
    115-62-1 in Last 178 MLB Picks
    +552.25
    45-27 in Last 72 MLB ML Picks
    +610.5
    10-3 in Last 13 MIA ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Can't believe I'm backing the Marlins but wow that Colorado lineup is bad today with a few regulars out in a getaway game. Marlins pitcher Edward Cabrera can dominate one inning and walk four the next. He generally is much better at home. In three career starts vs. Colorado, he is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA. Really no pitching props I liked, though.

    Pick Made: Thu 2:03 pm UTC
    May 02 2024, 2:00 am UTC
    League
    Los Angeles
    3
    @ Edmonton
    4
    +1257.5
    42-22 in Last 64 NHL ATS Picks
    +665
    11-3 in Last 14 LA ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    If the Kings had started David Rittich before Game 4 in net, maybe they aren't facing elimination on Wednesday. Maybe if I was taller, I'd be in the NBA (probably not). I'm assuming Rittich again here, and he played well Sunday in the 1-0 loss but also only faced 13 Oilers shots. I guarantee you at least double that many for Edmonton back home. Instead of -195 on the ML, let's do this great price on the puckline because if the Kings are down a goal with about five minutes left, they probably pull Rittich that early with the season on the line (as opposed to the final minute or so of a regular season game), and the Oilers can theoretically pile on.

    Pick Made: Tue 8:13 pm UTC
    May 02 2024, 1:40 am UTC
    League
    L.A. Dodgers
    8
    @ Arizona
    0
    +1475.25
    115-62-1 in Last 178 MLB Picks
    +512.25
    13-3-1 in Last 17 MLB O/U Picks
    +411
    9-5 in Last 14 ARI O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Only 9 left on our board is at DraftKings, and runs should be at a premium with Yoshinobu Yamamoto (0.00 ERA in two road starts) opposed by Jordan Montgomery -- Monty was supposed to pitch last night but was scratched when the game was delayed for a while at the start due to a hive of bees behind home plate. Reminds of a Little League game I had canceled due to bats (the vampiric kind not the hitting instrument).

    Pick Made: Wed 1:29 pm UTC
    May 02 2024, 12:10 am UTC
    League
    Cleveland
    3
    @ Houston
    2
    +1475.25
    115-62-1 in Last 178 MLB Picks
    +552.25
    45-27 in Last 72 MLB ML Picks
    +1382.5
    40-17 in Last 57 CLE ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Justin Verlander looks just fine at age 41 for Houston, while Cleveland's Triston McKenzie (4.91 ERA) has seen a big drop in velo since his last fully healthy 2022 season. And the bullpen behind him is super-thin as the Guardians' top three high-leverage guys led by closer Emmanuel Clase have pitched three of the past four days so are probably all unavailable. Thus, we will avoid first five.

    Pick Made: Wed 8:56 pm UTC
    May 01 2024, 11:30 pm UTC
    League
    Vegas
    2
    @ Dallas
    3
    +206
    30-18 in Last 48 NHL Picks
    +473
    17-7 in Last 24 LV ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Surprising decision by Vegas coach Bruce Cassidy to bench No. 1 goalie Logan Thompson tonight for Adin Hill, the 2023 playoff hero. Thompson has been very good in this series with a 2.35 GAA and .921 SV but the Knights have dropped the past two. Partly due to injury/illness and also obviously due to Thompson, Hill has played in only three of the Knights' last 16 contests (last on April 18) in which he was 1-2 with a 3.68 GAA. Seems like a panic decision and at some point, the home team is winning a game. Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger has allowed exactly two goals in the past three games and if he does again, I'll take my chances.

    Pick Made: Wed 7:40 pm UTC
    May 01 2024, 7:40 pm UTC
    League
    Atlanta
    5
    @ Seattle
    2
    +1475.25
    115-62-1 in Last 178 MLB Picks
    +552.25
    45-27 in Last 72 MLB ML Picks
    +647
    48-29 in Last 77 ATL ML Picks
    Analysis:

    The Braves haven't been swept this season and I'm sure would prefer not to be. Their offense has gone to sleep of late but I think wakes up some today vs. M's rookie Emerson Hancock. ATL's Chris Sale has been quite strong other than one start. One good thing about this series so far is that Atlanta has not used any of its high-leverage relievers so they are all ready to go today. Mariners closer Andres Munoz pitched 1.2 innings last night and thus surely is not available. Because of the state of the bullpens, I opted not to do first five.

    Pick Made: Wed 4:56 pm UTC
    May 01 2024, 5:10 pm UTC
    League
    Tampa Bay
    1
    @ Milwaukee
    7
    +1475.25
    115-62-1 in Last 178 MLB Picks
    +518
    26-16 in Last 42 MIL ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    This series has been good to us so far. Really think the books continue to overvalue the Rays -- this is not the same club that made the playoffs each of the past five seasons. Also the end of a six-game trip for Tampa Bay ahead of the longest homestand of the season, so perhaps a natural letdown spot. Zach Eflin is 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA on the road. His 2023 season continues to look like a massive fluke.

    Pick Made: Wed 3:08 pm UTC
    May 01 2024, 5:10 pm UTC
    League
    St. Louis
    1
    @ Detroit
    4
    +1475.25
    115-62-1 in Last 178 MLB Picks
    +512.25
    13-3-1 in Last 17 MLB O/U Picks
    +375
    6-0 in Last 6 STL O/U Picks
    Analysis:

    Did not think this would get to 9 (ESPNBet has 9.5) and while I don't love it will play a little simply as getaway games in Detroit tend to be lower scoring and the winds are blowing in from right field a fair amount. Tigers pitcher Kenta Maeda has a 5.96 ERA but comes off his best outing of the season and has been very solid in three of his past four overall. Interesting (to me anyways) fact about Cards pitcher Miles Mikolas. He is one of 13 active MLB pitchers with 180 appearances and 150 starts who has faced 29 different MLB foes but the only one who has not faced the Tigers as their final opponent. That could help our cause.

    Pick Made: Wed 3:07 pm UTC