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Thu, Mar 1311:00 pm UTCWells Fargo Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Tampa Bay
Lightning
TB
Last 5 ML
W/L37-28
ATS34-31
O/U28-33-4
FINAL SCORE
3
-
4
Philadelphia
Flyers
PHI
Last 5 ML
W/L28-39
ATS33-34
O/U32-33-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
37-28
Win /Loss
28-39
34-31
Spread
33-34
28-33-4
Over / Under
32-33-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TB @ PHI
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MONEYLINE
TB @ PHI
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OVER / UNDER
TB @ PHI
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74%
PUBLIC
26%
MONEY
90%
PUBLIC
10%
MONEY
Over86%
PUBLIC
Under14%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadPhiladelphia +1.5 -182
WIN
Unit0.5
+1931.5
49-18-6 in Last 73 NHL ATS Picks
+350
4-0 in Last 4 TB ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

It's backup Jonas Johansson (3.15 GAA) in net for Tampa Bay and superstar Nikita Kucherov is apparently out with an illness that per my local former Tampa Trib peeps is going around the locker room. The Bolts have gone cold in a two-game skid with just one goal scored. When scoring the first goal of a game, the Flyers are 18-9-8 this season and if they score first here, we are in good shape.

Pick Made: Thu 10:32 pm UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadTampa Bay -1.5 +165
LOSS
Unit1.0
+125
5-4 in Last 9 NHL Picks
+115
3-2 in Last 5 NHL ATS Picks
+326
4-2 in Last 6 PHI ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Goals have suddenly dried up for the Lightning, blanked by Boston and losing 4-1 at Carolina on Tuesday. But Jon Cooper doesn't seem fazed and apparently has picked tonight to give Andrei Vasilevskiy a rest in goal, with Jonas Johansson slated to make a rare start in the nets. Perhaps it's because the Flyers have faded with losses in six straight amid their own goal-scoring woes, just five of those across the last four games. Emblematic of the downturn has been top scorer Travis Konecny going goal-less across the last ten games. Samuel Ersson is also having a tough go of it in goal for Philly, peppered for a 5.11 GAA and just .828 saves in three losing March starts. Play Lightning on Puck Line.

Pick Made: Thu 3:40 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning
Thursday, Mar 13, 2025
Avatar
RW
Nikita Kucherov
IllnessOut
Philadelphia Flyers
Thursday, Mar 13, 2025
Avatar
D
Rasmus Ristolainen
UndisclosedOut
Avatar
RW
Garnet Hathaway
Upper BodyOut

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
57%
37-27, -109
27-39, -962
40%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
45%
14-17, -505
15-19, -535
44%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
67%
31-15, +399
14-32, -1128
30%
When Line was -170 to -140
MONEY LINE
When Line was +115 to +145
70%
12-5, +272
5-18, -1166
21%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
55%
10-8, -106
5-14, -700
26%
vs Teams That Win <45% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
61%
11-7, -94
6-18, -875
25%
vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
65%
27-14, +318
2-6, -301
25%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
59%
32-22, -61
26-29, -76
47%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TB
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +183
100%
when Jonas Johansson starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Samuel Ersson starts
53%
7-6, +29
18-18, -23
50%
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