Ottawa has won its last three visits to Toronto but is just 2-5-0 on the road this season. The Maple Leafs are wrapping up a four-game homestand during which they allowed a total of two goals while winning the first three contests - all without Auston Matthews (upper body), who is doubtful for the meeting with the Senators. William Nylander (two goals, three assists) and John Tavares (three goals) have been big contributors during the homestand, while Mitch Marner (three goals, 10 assists) is riding an eight-game points streak.

Auston Matthews is eligible to come off IR but Leafs GM Brad Treliving said he considered him "doubtful" for tonight. Credit to Craig Berube for trying to install a defensive structure that can pay off in the postseason. Ottawa under Travis Green has also shown a better commitment to overall team defense. Over their last five games both teams are top six in expected goals against across all situations; full season, they're both top 11. Linus Ullmark showed great form Saturday vs his former team and Anthony Stolarz has quietly been one of the league's best goalies ranking fifth in goals saved above expected. Look for defense to dominate in what should be a hard fought intense game in the battle of Ontario.