As Severance mentioned, Sidney Crosby had surgery in September and just recently returned to practice. His timetable to return to games is not yet known. The back-to-back Stanley Cup champion Lightning will be raising their banner after not having a full stadium of fans in 2 years. The Penguins have lost 7 of their last 9 games straight up against the Lightning and they haven’t won in Tampa Bay since 2017. Take the Lightning at home.

Will there be a Stanley Cup hangover for the Lightning? Maybe early in the season, but I don't see it in Game 1 as another banner will be raised to the rafters. The Bolts lost some depth in the offseason to free agency/expansion draft but still are loaded. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, will be without Sidney Crosby for a bit and Evgeni Malkin for perhaps the first half of the year if not longer. Two other key players, Jake Guentzel and Zach Aston-Reese, are on the COVID list (update: Aston-Reese is off it now but still may not play Tuesday due to conditioning). The Penguins aren't going to be very good until at least Crosby returns. I'd also lean Under 6 goals here because Pittsburgh likely will struggle to score without Crosby and Malkin.