Bills vs Patriots prediction, MNF props, odds: NFL expert reveals Monday Night Football player prop bet picks
MVP candidate Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills (7-4) host Offensive Rookie of the Year front-runner Mac Jones and the New England Patriots (8-4) in a pivotal Week 13 NFL matchup on Monday Night Football. Kickoff is at for 8:15 p.m. ET from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. The winner will enter Week 14 in sole possession of first place in the AFC East. The Bills are three-point favorites in the latest Bills vs. Patriots odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 40.5 points. In addition to the Patriots vs Bills point spread and standard Monday Night Football Week 13 NFL betting lines, Caesars is also offering a plethora of prop bet options for this prime time AFC East matchup, and SportsLine NFL expert R.J. White has just revealed his top player prop plays.
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White, a CBS Sports fantasy and gambling editor, ended the 2020 season on an 80-59 run on all NFL picks, returning more than $1,400 during that span. He also enters Week 13 as SportsLine's No. 5 rated NFL expert, going 55-44-2 (+800) on his last 101 NFL ATS picks. It's no surprise, as White has cashed huge twice in the world's most prestigious football handicapping competition, the Las Vegas SuperContest. Anyone who has followed his picks has seen HUGE returns.
You can see all of White's expert NFL picks and analysis HERE.
Now, White has locked in on Patriots vs. Bills on MNF and just revealed his top three prop bet picks for this Week 13 NFL matchup.
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Josh Allen Over 237.5 passing yards (-115)
"Allen averages 279.2 passing yards per game and has been under this number just once since Week 2. The reason the line is so low is less the matchup against an excellent New England defense and more the elements, with cold, windy weather on tap. But the Bills just don't seem like the type of team to keep the ball on the ground and limit Allen's pass attempts in what's supposed to be a competitive game throughout. I think Allen will be closer to his season average than this line when all is said and done, but I'd also look at sprinkling a little on him being the first TD scorer at +1000 as his rushing ability figures to be a bigger plus down near the goal line where his big arm isn't as much of a factor."
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Cole Beasley Over 31.5 receiving yards (-130)
"Beasley had established himself as a focal part of the Buffalo offense in the middle of the season before a rib injury limited how much time he spent on the field. He played just nine snaps against the Jets, then saw action on 57% of snaps the following week. But against the Saints, he was back up to 70% of snaps, and even though he had just five targets in that game, in every other game this year where he's been on the field at least 66% of the snaps, he's seen between nine and 13 targets. I expect the target total to be back up near that range even with the weather, but even if he's seeing five or six targets instead of nine to 13, he has a decent chance of topping this low number."
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Rhamondre Stevenson Over 42.5 rushing yards (-110)
"This should be a Patriots offensive gameplan focused on running the ball in bad weather, even after the Bills lost one of the best corners in the game last week. And the rookie Stevenson has been the superior runner in the Patriots offense over the last four games. He's managed at least five yards per carry in each of those matchups, while Damien Harris has only had one game averaging even 3.7 yards per carry. He's also done a great job protecting the ball after a fumble in his season debut put him on the inactive list for the following three weeks. Stevenson has finished with more rushing yards than Harris in each of the last three games they've played together while rolling up 100 yards against the Browns in the one game Harris missed. He should get enough work in this one to clear the number."
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