Cleveland had the best record in the AL not that long ago and the Pale Hose have given them more trouble than I figured. But we are still talking about a team with a +93 run differential against one with a minus-157. Ben Lively has been excellent for the Guardians and especially so at home, with Cleveland 5-0 in his home starts. Four of those came by two runs or more. He has a 2.15 home ERA. Chicago's starter is still somewhat murky. The Guardians have thrived in day games, going 21-10, while the Pale Hose are 10-26.