Eastern trips for the Padres often turn into dangerous adventures, and the storm signals are out tonight at Fenway Park with Randy Vasquez on the mound for Mike Shildt. The difference between Vasquez at Petco Park (3.55 ERA) and away from Petco Park (6.85 ERA) have been stark, potentially superseding San Diego's momentum after sweeping the Nats at home this week. The BoSox have been making some noise lately by winning eight of 10, and they've also won the last four starts made by Nick Pivetta.

San Diego's Randy Vasquez has gone at least five innings in five of his past six and not many Red Sox have seen him. As we always say, managers want their starters to qualify for a win if at all possible. Vasquez also has allowed three earned or fewer in five of his past six. He's set at O/U 3.5 ER here and I definitely thought about playing Under that as well as in that case we are covered for injury. But I could see a scenario where Vasquez comes out for the sixth and a couple of guys get on and a reliever allows both to score, and that's four ER on Vasquez.