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Well, this price has jumped with Touki Toussaint being announced as the starter for Cleveland, making his first appearance in the majors this season. The Dbacks have Zac Gallen, who is 6-0 with a 0.96 ERA at home. Arizona had a tough series against the Phillies, but they should be looking to bounce back. Lay the juice for the home team.
Zac Gallen is one of the 10 best pitchers in baseball and is coming off two below average starts. Last year Gallen went 12-4 with a 2.54 ERA, and Arizona was 19-12 (+7.8 units) in his starts. He has allowed two runs or fewer in nine of his last 12 starts. Cleveland's offense ranks 26th versus righties on the road in both wRC+ and OPS over the past 60 days. Cleveland righty Triston McKenzie is still working his way back from a teres major muscle strain with just 10 1/3 innings at AAA and 10 innings in the big leagues. The Diamondbacks offense has been above average versus righties at home. All of the check marks are on Arizona.
Zac Gallen is a wizard at Chase Field. He is 6-0 with a 0.96 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP in his seven home starts this season. The Diamondbacks have dropped three straight but should be able to bounce back in this spot under Zac Gallen. Guardians starter Triston McKenzie was terrible in his last start allowing five runs. The Diamondbacks offense should be back to normal in this game after facing a tough Phillies crew. Take the Snake with a little bit of juice.
I may still make another play tonight but I want to jump this excellent line on the Snakes for Friday behind ace and Cy Young contender Zac Gallen, who is 6-0 with a 0.96 ERA at home this year (listed pitcher action only on him). I'm surprised this number isn't around -170. Bet it gets there if not higher. Cleveland's Triston McKenzie is a solid pitcher, but this is a terrific price barring some major Arizona injury(ies) during today's matinee vs. the Phillies. The Guards have to play tonight in San Diego and then travel, albeit not far. They have been terrible on the road of late.