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The Jays may have the best home-field advantage in the majors this season because they didn't play in Toronto at all in 2020 or for a big chunk of last year and when so very limited attendance. They should sell out every game this year. Also remember that unvaccinated visiting players can't play in Toronto, although reportedly all the Rangers are good to go. Texas will be better this year with Corey Seager and former Blue Jay Marcus Semien, but the Rangers still don't have much else, especially pitching-wise. New addition and tonight's starter Jon Gray formerly of the Rockies actually was better last year in the thin air of Denver than on the road. He's not a No. 1.
Weirdly enough, the Blue Jays have actually lost 10 straight games on Opening Day. However, I think that streak ends here. Usually, I don’t play teams just because they’re at home, but this is a different home game. This will be the first actual Toronto Opening Day since 2019 and you know that city is fired up about their team. Blue Jays also swept the Rangers when they played in Toronto last season. Jose Berrios didn’t allow a hit in his first start last season and he pitched a quality start when he faced them last June. Berrios went on a ridiculous run pitching 7 straight quality starts to end the season as well. Rangers haven’t been much better on Opening Day, losing 6 of their last 8 games. They signed Corey Seager and Marcus Semien in the offseason, but they don’t have much depth other than that. Some might think getting away from Coors Field will pay immediate dividends, but Gray was actually worse on the road at 3-7 5.22 ERA last season. His career ERA is also slightly worse on the road. Take the Blue Jays at home.