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The Cody Bellinger blast in the eighth inning in Game 3 turned everything around. The Dodgers were just a few outs from being dead in the water and now they are back to being the most likely World Series champion. Scheduled Braves starter Huascar Ynoa was a late scratch, forcing the Braves into a bullpen game. With so many different relievers set to pitch, the Dodgers will get to at least one of them for a big inning. The Dodgers offense had tons of traffic all series, but kept leaving runners on base. That is over now after the eighth inning. Julio Urias will throw well, too. They'll cover the -1.5 run line.
Going with a Severance special in Game 4 because I think the Dodgers should sneak one out but I don't want to pay -220. Julio Urias was very good this season, but the Braves did touch him up in his one relief inning in Game 2 to blow the save. Huascar Ynoa is expected to start, and he hasn’t been pitching well but the Braves have plenty of bullpen options behind him. The Dodgers should ride the momentum from last night’s comeback win but I just have a hard time believing any of these teams should be -220 against another. The home team won each of the first three games and all were 1 run games, so I am going to take the value in the Braves run line at -110.
The Braves haven't announced their Game 4 starter yet, but it doesn't really matter as it will be a bullpen day -- probably largely for Los Angeles, too, after Julio Urias puts in 3-4 innings or so on short rest. I expect the Dodgers to win after ripping out Atlanta's heart in Game 3, but backing LA at -220 is ridiculous without a true starting pitching edge. So, Braves runline at -118.