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The Rays scored the most runs in the league this season and they have been tearing up lefties. They will also most likely employ some combination of Rodriguez and Sale who were both hit hard by the Rays this series. the Rays pitch well in bullpen games but the Red Sox bats are on fire right now. Both bullpens are extremely worked after last night's extra inning game, take the over.
After a crazy Game 3, it's easy to believe the pitching staff of both teams is compromised, but the Red Sox are in worse shape. The Rays absolutely crush lefties and the three most effective right-handed arms capable of getting length this series -- Nick Pivetta, Nathan Eovaldi, Tanner Houck -- for the Red Sox are unavailable for this one. They are starting a lefty, too, hoping that he can get some distance. Rays starter Collin McHugh has been brilliant this season and has a 0.75 ERA in five outings against the Red Sox. He can give them three innings before the likes of Kittredge, Fairbanks, Wisler and Feyereisen bring it home. It won't likely be low-scoring, but the Rays are better suited with pitching here.
Still can't believe I lost on the Tampa Bay runline in Game 3 with that BS call on the Rays in the top of the 13th that cost a run and then a walk-off two-run homer by Boston in the bottom of the inning. Here I figured extra innings was safe on runlines again with that runner on second base rule scratched. Well, I'm going back to it again on the Rays. They knocked around Boston starter Eduardo Rodriguez in Game 1, while Collin McHugh will open for Tampa but only pitch one time through the order at most. McHugh has been fantastic as an opener this year so Tampa has a good chance of getting the lead early. The Rays are in better bullpen shape overall as well.
Boston got a big boost in Game 3 from some controversial calls, and we'll never know what would have happened if the game was called differently. I would imagine the Rays feel a bit robbed of a fair chance and will come out determined to force a Game 5 at home. Tampa Bay typically has done well in bullpen games this season, and it already has knocked around Red Sox LHP Eduardo Rodriguez. I expect this to be a good game, but it likely will come down to pitching. Boston figures to rest its best arms, and I think that makes the difference. Take the American League-favorite Rays to even up the series.
I was all over the Rays to start the playoffs so I can’t give up on them now. Nick Pivetta, Tanner Houck, and Nathan Eovaldi have been the best 3 pitchers this series but all 3 should be unavailable for the Red Sox for tonight’s game. Eduardo Rodriguez was hit hard in Game 1 by the Rays and the Rays have been absolutely lighting up left-handed pitching lately. The Rays won 100 games in the regular season and scored the most runs in the league, they won’t go down easy. I think the Red Sox will have a good chance in Game 5 once they get those three pitchers available, but I think the Rays win today with a bullpen game against what would probably be some combination of Rodriguez and Sale.