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Expert Picks
I think Alex Wood will give the Dodgers enough problems from the left side to keep them in the game and Max Scherzer should also pitch well enough and deep enough to perform. Both these bullpens are very god so at any sign of trouble they will come in. I think we see a game closer to Game 1 than Game 2. Take the under.
Can't really justify backing the Dodgers at -205 so Giants at -125 on the runline it is. Max Scherzer is on the mound for LA and hasn't been that great his past three outings. The Giants' Alex Wood had a 1.38 ERA in three September starts and being a former Dodger should be more than comfortable pitching in Dodger Stadium. San Francisco did have the best road record in the majors and the team was 12-1 this year in Wood starts following a loss.
Is this just a hunch? Maybe. The Giants have defied odds all season, so why not one more time? Max Scherzer wasn't good in his last two regular season starts and had bad command issues in the wild card game. He's 37 years old with a ton of mileage on that arm. I'm not sure he gets hit hard, but I don't like him to last long. Ditto for Alex Wood, who is very effective the first time through an order but starts to get hit shortly thereafter. I trust the Giants' bullpen slightly more, so we'll roll the dice here with the big value. Late-inning magic for the Giants takes this.
Sure, Max Scherzer is starting at home and the Dodgers just put up 9 runs, but do we really think they are -200 favorites in a playoff game? The Giants not only beat the Dodgers in their season series going 6-4 in Los Angeles, but they also had more regular season wins. The Giants have a very good bullpen, and they can piece together some outs while we saw Max Scherzer not at his best in the Wild Card game. This game should be much closer to 50-50, take the value on the Giants.