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I haven't been impressed by the Brewers lineup yet, and the Braves have the momentum, as well as the better starter. Atlanta RHP Ian Anderson has been great in his postseason career. He made four starts in the playoffs last year and allowed only two runs over 18 2/3 innings with a K:BB ratio of 24:10. I expect him to give the Braves ample time to get a lead, and their improved bullpen should be able to limit the damage after Anderson exits. Brewers RHP Freddy Peralta comes in looking a little shaky. He allowed seven runs in his final 11 innings of the season, and Truist Park won't do him any favors. It will be Peralta's first career postseason start, and I think the Braves should be able to get it done.
The Brewers bats would have put up 18 scoreless innings if it weren’t for a late home run by Rowdy Tellez in Game 1. However, I think they finally put it together today. Freddy Peralta has only made two postseason appearances, but he pitched 6 scoreless innings against the Braves earlier this season, although that was before the trade deadline. Ian Anderson has made 4 postseason starts and he has pitched well in all four. I think this will end up coming down to the bullpens so I will take the Brewers because of that reason.
Guess I understand why Atlanta is favored at home as Ian Anderson (9-5, 3.58) is a fine pitcher, but the Brewers were actually better away from home and Freddy Peralta (10-5, 2.81) had a better year than Anderson did. Peralta threw six shutout innings in his lone start vs. Atlanta. Milwaukee is 9-3 in its past 12 following an off day. We'll take the runline.