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Just right off the top: The Braves are simply the better team here. The Phillies, for as much as Bryce Harper has tried carrying them in the second half, are clearly the inferior team. Plus, Braves starter Max Fried is on a serious run right now, having posted a 1.48 ERA in his last 10 starts, nine of which were Braves wins. The Phillies are 34-42 on the road and starter Aaron Nola has a 5.32 road ERA this season. All roads point to another Braves win.
The Braves can put a proverbial nail in the Phillies' coffin with another win tonight and should get it behind Max Fried, who has been one of the NL's best pitchers since the start of August and hasn't allowed a run in his past two outings. The Phlis have totaled just one run during a two-game skid and Aaron Nola has a 5.32 road ERA.
Max Fried has been absolutely dealing lately as he is 3-0 with a 1.65 ERA in his last 7 starts and he is coming off a complete game shutout in San Diego. Aaron Nola is noticeably worse on the road and he has really struggled this season. He pitched well against the Braves last time they met, but he wasn’t too great in any of the previous matchups. He also allowed 6 ER in 6 IP against the Pirates at home last start. If the Braves win tonight, they can’t clinch the division but they can clinch at least a tie for the division. The Braves have won 4 straight and 8 of 10, take the Braves.