The Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors meet in a Christmas Day showdown at 2:30 p.m. ET on Monday. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Nuggets as 6.5-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 233.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Warriors vs. Nuggets picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 9 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 101-52 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $4,000. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Warriors are in the top five of the NBA in 3-point defense this season. Opponents are making fewer than 35% of long-range attempts against Golden State, and the Warriors are also allowing fewer than 26 assists per game. Golden State is also in the top ten of the league in defensive rebounding, grabbing 72% of missed shots and allowing fewer than 13 second-chance points per game.

The model also knows the Nuggets are excellent at home. Denver is 11-2 at Ball Arena this season, posting a +11.6 net rating in those 13 games. The Nuggets also won 10 of 11 home games during the 2023 NBA Playoffs, winning the NBA title in the process. Denver was also 34-7 with a +9.6 net rating during the 2022-23 regular season, and Golden State is just 17-28 on the road over the last two regular seasons.

Now, it has set its sights on Warriors vs. Nuggets. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Warriors vs. Nuggets on Christmas Day, and which side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Warriors vs. Nuggets spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model on a 101-52 roll on top-rated NBA picks!