The Golden State Warriors will host the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday for a Western Conference matchup. Golden State is currently ninth in the West with a 29-27 record while Dallas is eighth after winning three games in a row to improve to 31-26.

Tip-off from Chase Center in San Francisco is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Golden State is a 9-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Mavericks odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 229.5. The Warriors are -362 on the money line (risk $362 to win $100), while the Mavs are +286 (risk $100 to win $286). Before making any Mavericks vs. Warriors picks, check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second half of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-104 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It's also an outstanding 18-9 (67%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

The model has simulated Warriors vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 70% of simulations!

So who wins Mavericks vs. Warriors, and  which side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks!