Teams looking to make a late-season push clash when the Virginia Cavaliers face the North Carolina Tar Heels in a key Atlantic Coast Conference matchup on Saturday. Virginia is coming off an 80-62 loss to third-ranked Duke on Monday, while UNC downed NC State 97-73 on Wednesday. The Cavaliers (13-13, 6-9 ACC), who are tied with Virginia Tech for 11th in the conference, are 3-5 on the road this season. The Tar Heels (16-11, 9-6 ACC), who are sixth in the league, are 10-2 on their home floor.

Tipoff from the Smith Center in Chapel Hill, N.C., is set for 4 p.m. ET. North Carolina is a 9.5-point favorite in the latest Virginia vs. North Carolina odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 140.5. 

Before making any Virginia vs. North Carolina picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 16 of the 2024-25 season on a 213-158 roll (+1675) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Virginia vs. North Carolina 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations!

So who wins Virginia vs. North Carolina, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks!