Vegas Legend, SportsLine Computers Simulate 2017 NFL Season
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Now that the NFL Draft has wrapped up, it's time to look at every team's projected win total.
SportsLine's powerful computers simulated the 2017-18 regular season 10,000-plus times. The result: sophisticated win total projections for each team.
We also reached out to legendary Vegas oddsmaker Kenny White, the former head of Las Vegas Sports Consultants. White shared his win estimates for every team.
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Arizona Cardinals
- Kenny White: 8.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 8.4 wins
Both estimates surpass the seven wins Arizona mustered last season. It all comes down to whether Carson Palmer can deliver at age 37. They didn't draft a backup QB.
Atlanta Falcons
- Kenny White: 10 wins
- SportsLine projection: 9.5 wins
After a meltdown in Super Bowl 51, the Falcons are poised for a strong 2017. They went for defense in their first two draft picks (Takkarist McKinley, Duke Riley).
Baltimore Ravens
- Kenny White: 9 wins
- SportsLine projection: 9.5 wins
Coming off an eight-win season, the Ravens have a 65.1 percent chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They picked up CB Brandon Carr from Dallas and drafted plenty of defensive depth.
Buffalo Bills
- Kenny White: 7.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 7.3 wins
With the fifth-hardest schedule, it's going to be tough sledding for the Bills. They get the Patriots twice, Falcons once, and face the gauntlet that is the AFC West.
Carolina Panthers
- Kenny White: 8.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 8.7 wins
After six wins last season, 2017 should be a bounceback year for Carolina. They drafted versatile running back Christian McCaffrey, an immediate impact player, but still have holes on both lines.
Chicago Bears
- Kenny White: 4.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 4.9 wins
Alshon Jeffery left for the Eagles. Mike Glennon is now under center. Mitchell Trubisky is unproven. This team lost at home to Jacksonville last year. Can the new talent breathe life into the Monsters of the Midway?
Cincinnati Bengals
- Kenny White: 9 wins
- SportsLine projection: 8.5 wins
The Bengals, who face the third-easiest schedule, drafted controversial, yet talented running back Joe Mixon. They only have a 38.3 percent chance of making the playoffs in the improved AFC North.
Cleveland Browns
- Kenny White: 4.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 4.6 wins
The Browns got their QB of the future in Notre Dame's DeShone Kizer, but there's no guarantee he starts this season or succeeds in the NFL. They have a 1.2 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Dallas Cowboys
- Kenny White: 10.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 9.4 wins
Ezekiel Elliott and Dak Prescott are sophomores coming off an inspiring 13-win season. Dallas, which faces the 11th-toughest schedule, spent its first three picks on defense. Tony Romo is in the CBS broadcast booth.
Denver Broncos
- Kenny White: 9 wins
- SportsLine projection: 8 wins
The Broncos have the NFL's toughest schedule. But, if one of their QBs emerges, the team's Super Bowl hopes could improve behind a rock-solid defense.
Detroit Lions
- Kenny White: 8 wins
- SportsLine projection: 7 wins
Head coach Jim Caldwell has won 27 games in his first three seasons in Detroit, but they're still looking for a player to fill the void left by Calvin Johnson.
Green Bay Packers
- Kenny White: 10 wins
- SportsLine projection: 9.7 wins
Green Bay is once again the NFC North favorite. The Packers have had double-digit wins in seven of the last eight seasons. BYU RB Jamaal Williams could shore up the run game.
Houston Texans
- Kenny White: 8.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 8.6 wins
SportsLine projects the Texans to win the AFC South for the second straight year. Head coach Bill O'Brien claims Tom Savage is his starting QB, but the team just gave up a lot to draft Deshaun Watson.
Indianapolis Colts
- Kenny White: 9 wins
- SportsLine projection: 7.7 wins
SportsLine and our Vegas legend differ significantly here. The Colts went heavy on defense in the draft, taking CBs Malik Hooker and Quincy Wilson in the first two rounds. White is calling for a career season from Andrew Luck.
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Kenny White: 7 wins
- SportsLine projection: 7.2 wins
It all comes down to how much of an impact RB Leonard Fournette can have. If he falters, the team won't finish above .500.
Kansas City Chiefs
- Kenny White: 10 wins
- SportsLine projection: 9.3 wins
The Chiefs have the second-hardest schedule, but head coach Andy Reid has won 11 games in three of his last four seasons. Pat Mahomes could be their QB of the future.
Los Angeles Chargers
- Kenny White: 7 wins
- SportsLine projection: 6.8 wins
The Chargers had an injury-riddled five-win season last year. Now, with Keenan Allen healthy and draft pick Mike Williams in the fold, LA could easily exceed expectations. Their projected Vegas win total is 6.
Los Angeles Rams
- Kenny White: 5.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 4.6 wins
White believes sophomore QB Jared Goff makes a big jump this season, but the team is still a few years away from being a serious contender.
Miami Dolphins
- Kenny White: 7.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 6.9 wins
Ryan Tannehill seems primed for another solid season under head coach Adam Gase. The Dolphins went defense with their first three picks.
Minnesota Vikings
- Kenny White: 8.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 8.6 wins
Latavius Murray should be reliable moving the chains behind an improved offensive line. If Sam Bradford can make strides, White wouldn't be shocked to see Minnesota get 10 wins.
New England Patriots
- Kenny White: 11 wins
- SportsLine projection: 12.2 wins
Take last year's Super Bowl team, add Brandin Cooks and Stephon Gilmore, and you have this year's Patriots. They have a 34.2 percent chance of repeating as champs.
New Orleans Saints
- Kenny White: 8 wins
- SportsLine projection: 7.9 wins
White is calling for a possible return to the playoffs for the Saints, who went 7-9 last season and haven't made the postseason since 2013. Even with a backfield of Adrian Peterson, Mark Ingram, and Alvin Kamara, New Orleans might have trouble in the loaded NFC South.
New York Giants
- Kenny White: 9 wins
- SportsLine projection: 8.2 wins
They're fresh off a surprising 11-win season despite Eli Manning having a down year. The Giants drafted TE Evan Engram in the first round, who has drawn comparisons to Jordan Reed.
New York Jets
- Kenny White: 6.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 5.9 wins
They lost Brandon Marshall, still lack a quarterback, and picked safeties in the first two rounds of the NFL Draft. They dove from 10 wins to five last season.
Oakland Raiders
- Kenny White: 9 wins
- SportsLine projection: 8.3 wins
After racking up a dozen wins last year, the Raiders' fortunes this year ride on the health of QB Derek Carr. Marshawn Lynch is coming to town too. Get your Skittles ready.
Philadelphia Eagles
- Kenny White: 7.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 8 wins
QB Carson Wentz hasn't come close to hitting his ceiling, and the addition of WR Alshon Jeffery should help the offense immensely. This team is primed to go over its projected Vegas win total of 7.
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Kenny White: 10.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 10.1 wins
Ben Roethlisberger, Le'Veon Bell, and Antonio Brown all healthy equals a Super Bowl run. They also got WR Martavis Bryant back from suspension. They have better than a 50 percent chance of winning their division.
San Francisco 49ers
- Kenny White: 5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 6.6 wins
The 49ers are on their third coach in three years and still lack enough talent to compete for a title. They went defense with their first three picks in a solid draft.
Seattle Seahawks
- Kenny White: 10.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 10.2 wins
SportsLine projects Seattle to win their division over 70 percent of the time. The Seahawks have the seventh-easiest schedule and are a contender to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Kenny White: 8.5 wins
- SportsLine projection: 6.9 wins
DeSean Jackson is another weapon for Jameis Winston, but the NFC South seems poised for a major uptick. New TE OJ Howard could be a Hall of Famer, according to White.
Tennessee Titans
- Kenny White: 8 wins
- SportsLine projection: 8.2 wins
The Titans drafted two wideouts among their first three picks. How Marcus Mariota recovers from a broken fibula will be key.
Washington Redskins
- Kenny White: 8 wins
- SportsLine projection: 8.1 wins
DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon are gone. Jordan Reed is an injury risk. Kirk Cousins got tagged. The situation in Washington seems ripe for disaster.
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