The UCLA Bruins will take on the Utah State Aggies in a Midwest Region matchup in the first round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament on Thursday. UCLA (22-10) landed the No. 7 seed in the Midwest, while Utah State (26-7) earned the No. 10 seed. The Bruins posted a 13-7 record in conference play in their first season as members of the Big Ten. The Aggies went 15-5 in the Mountain West before losing to Colorado State in their conference tournament's semifinals. Utah State is 16-16 and UCLA is 18-12-2 against the spread this season.

Tip-off from Intrust Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky, is set for 9:25 p.m. ET. UCLA is a 5.5-point favorite in the latest Utah State vs. UCLA odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 144.5. 

Before making any Utah State vs. UCLA picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2025 NCAA Tournament on a 228-166 roll (+2025) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. This model has also produced brackets that have beaten over 91% of CBS Sports entries in four of the last six tournaments and nailed 24 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds! Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Utah State vs. UCLA 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations!

So who wins Utah State vs. UCLA in the 2025 NCAA Tournament, and which side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that is 228-166 (+2025) on top-rated college basketball pick and has nailed 24 double-digit upsets!