The UMBC Retrievers (8-18) and the Maine Black Bears (11-15) square off in an America East Conference tilt on Thursday at 6 p.m. ET. Maine is a 5.5-point favorite in the latest UMBC vs. Maine odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 151 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any UMBC vs. Maine picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 16 of the 2023-24 season on a 136-89 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $2,500 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 25-13 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows sophomore guard Dion Brown had the hot hand in the last meeting against Maine, scoring 21 points, while grabbing six rebounds and adding three assists and two steals. He registered a double-double in last Thursday's 89-78 win over Binghamton, scoring 22 points, while grabbing 12 rebounds. It was his sixth double-double of the year.

The model also knows senior forward Peter Filipovity is the Black Bears' leading scorer. In 26 games, all starts, he is averaging 13.3 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.2 steals in 26.3 minutes. He has scored 20 or more points in six games, and has registered seven double-doubles. He scored 21 points and grabbed 10 rebounds in a 79-72 win over Bryant on Feb. 3.

Now, the model has set its sights on UMBC vs. Maine. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations! 

Who wins UMBC vs. Maine, and which side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from that's on a 25-13 roll on top-rated college basketball spread picks!