The Dallas Mavericks look to win their third game in a row when they take on the Minnesota Timberwolves in a key Western Conference matchup on Christmas Day. Dallas defeated Portland 132-108 on Monday, while Minnesota dropped a 117-104 decision at Atlanta that same night. The Timberwolves (14-14), who are third in the Northwest Division, are 6-8 on the road this season. The Mavericks (19-10), who are third in the Southwest Division, are 10-4 on their home court.

Tip-off from American Airlines Center in Dallas is set for 2:30 p.m. ET. The Mavericks are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Timberwolves vs. Mavericks odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 221.5. Before entering any Timberwolves vs. Mavericks picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 10 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 128-92 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Timberwolves vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that cashes in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Timberwolves vs. Mavericks, and which side of the spread cashes in over 50% of simulations? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks.