The Baltimore Ravens will host the Pittsburgh Steelers in an AFC North showdown on Saturday in NFL Week 18. The Ravens (13-3) have already clinched the top seed in the AFC playoff bracket, while the Steelers (9-7) need a win and help to earn a postseason bid. Baltimore is expected to rest many key starters, including quarterback Lamar Jackson.

Saturday's kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. ET at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. Pittsburgh is a three-point favorite in the latest Steelers vs. Ravens odds, while the over/under for total points is 34.5. Before you make any Steelers vs. Ravens picks of your own, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 17 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 32-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

The model knows Mason Rudolph is expected to get the start against Baltimore as Kenny Pickett continues to nurse an ankle injury. Rudolph is coming off a solid performance in last Sunday's win at Seattle. In that game, he completed 18 of 24 passes (75%) for 274 yards for a 112.2 rating. A week earlier in a 34-11 win over Cincinnati, he completed 17 of 27 passes (63%) for 290 yards and two touchdowns.

The model also has considered that veteran running back Melvin Gordon III is expected to see action for the Ravens. He has played in just three games this season, but has 19 carries for 63 yards and one touchdown. The ninth-year veteran from Wisconsin is a former 1,000-yard rusher for the Los Angeles Chargers and has scored 10 touchdowns in a season twice. In 111 games played, Gordon has carried 1,586 times for 6,525 yards (4.1 average) and 56 touchdowns.

Now, the model has broken down Steelers vs. Ravens matchup from every angle. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

Who wins Steelers vs. Ravens on Saturday, and which side of the spread pick that hits in over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Steelers vs. Ravens spread is a MUST-BACK, all from the model on a 181-129 roll on NFL picks!