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South Alabama vs. Troy odds, line: Advanced computer college football model releases spread pick for Thursday's Sun Belt game

SportsLine's projection model has generated selections for the matchup between the Jaguars and Trojans

Supremacy in the West Division of the Sun Belt Conference will be on the line when the South Alabama Jaguars host the Troy Trojans on Thursday at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Ala. The Jaguars (5-1, 2-0 in Sun Belt), who in the preseason were picked to finish second in the division behind Louisiana, lead the West. Meanwhile the Trojans (5-2, 3-1), who were projected to finish third, sit in second place in the division. 

Kickoff is 7:30 p.m. ET. The Jaguars are 3-point favorites in the latest South Alabama vs. Troy odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 47. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page.)

Before you make any Troy vs. South Alabama picks or college football predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

The model knows that South Alabama has been winning the turnover battle all season. The Jaguars have forced 14 turnovers while committing just six this season. Their +8 turnover margin ranks fifth in the country. That bodes well while facing a Troy team that is -1 in turnover margin.

The model also knows that Troy has been strong at stopping the run recently. The Trojans have held five of their last six opponents to fewer than 100 yards rushing. Over the last six games, Troy has limited opponents to 85.5 rushing yards per game and 2.57 yards per carry, which would rank sixth and second in the country, respectively.

Now, the model has set its sights on South Alabama vs. Troy. We can tell you it is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

Who wins Troy vs. South Alabama? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the South Alabama vs. Troy spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a roll on college football picks!

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SportsLine Staff
SportsLine Staff

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