The Philadelphia Phillies look to complete the three-game sweep when they face the Colorado Rockies on Thursday afternoon. Philadelphia earned a 6-1 win in Monday's opener and a 5-1 win on Wednesday. The Rockies (1-4), who finished fifth in the National League West at 61-101, were just 24-57 on the road last season. The Phillies (4-1), who won the NL East with a 95-67 mark, were 54-27 on their home field in 2024.

First pitch from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. The Phillies have won 16 of the past 20 meetings. Philadelphia is a –205 favorite on the money line (risk $205 to win $100) in the latest Rockies vs. Phillies odds from SportsLine consensus, while the total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 9.5 in the latest MLB odds via SportsLine consensus. Philadelphia's over/under for total team runs is 5.5, while Colorado's is 3.5. 

Before making any Rockies vs. Phillies picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters the 2025 MLB season on a 32-17 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+699) that dates back to 2023. Anybody following could have seen strong returns. 

The model knows Philadelphia will send veteran right-hander Taijuan Walker to the mound. Walker is in his third season with the Phillies. Philadelphia is hoping he returns to form after a disappointing 2024. In 19 games last season, including 15 starts, he was 3-7 with a 7.10 ERA with 37 walks and 58 strikeouts. He has pitched in 217 career games, including 209 starts, going 72-63 with a 4.19 ERA, walking 392, while striking out 1,002—nearly a 2.6-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He has dominated the Rockies throughout his career, going 3-1 with a 2.34 ERA with 18 walks and 47 strikeouts in eight starts.  

The model also knows Colorado will counter with right-hander Antonio Senzatela (0-0, 0.00 ERA). He received a no-decision in his first start, a 2-1 win at Tampa Bay on Saturday. In 4.1 innings, he allowed nine hits and two walks with no strikeouts. The ninth-year veteran has started 123 of 149 career appearances and has compiled a 39-44 overall record. In 696.1 innings, he has allowed 796 hits, 219 walks and 458 strikeouts while registering a 4.87 ERA. 

The model has simulated Phillies vs. Rockies 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

Who wins Phillies vs. Rockies, and which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the money line you should be all over, all from the model on a 32-17 roll on top-rated MLB picks!