The Texas Rangers meet the Cincinnati Reds in the third and deciding game of their series on Wednesday. The Rangers (4-2), who finished third in the American League West at 78-84 last year, were 34-47 on the road in 2024. The Reds (2-3), who were fourth in the NL Central at 77-85 last season, were 39-42 on their home field a year ago.

First pitch from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati is set for 12:40 p.m. ET. Cincinnati is a -141 favorite on the money line (risk $141 to win $100) in the latest Rangers vs. Reds odds from SportsLine consensus, while the total number of runs, or the over/under, is 8.5 in the latest MLB odds via SportsLine consensus.

Before making any Rangers vs. Reds picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters the 2025 MLB season on a 32-17 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+699) that dates back to 2023. Anybody following could have seen strong returns. 

The model knows Cincinnati will send right-hander Hunter Greene (0-0, 3.60 ERA) to the mound. In his first start, a 6-4 loss to San Francisco on Thursday, he allowed three hits and two earned runs with one walk and eight strikeouts in five innings of work. In 26 starts a year ago, he was 9-5 with a 2.75 ERA, allowing 57 walks while striking out 169. In one career start against the Rangers, he is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. In that outing, he went seven innings, allowing one hit and one walk while striking out six.  

The model also knows Texas will counter with right-hander Jack Leiter (1-0, 1.80 ERA). In a 4-1 win over Boston on Friday, he pitched five innings, allowing one earned run and one walk while striking out four in five innings. In nine games last year, including six starts, Leiter posted a 0-3 record and an 8.83 ERA. This will be the first time he will have faced the Reds. 

The model has simulated Rangers vs. Reds 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

Who wins Rangers vs. Reds, and which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the money line you should be all over, all from the model on a 32-17 roll on top-rated MLB picks!