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MIL @ IND -7.5
Projected Final Scores for Week 11 of the NFL
There's still seven games to go, but several teams at 4-5 and 3-6 are on the cusp of true playoff elimination contention. SportsLine breaks down Week 11 of the NFL, projecting final scores and stats.
Last year, two 9-7 teams qualified the NFL playoffs, but three didn’t. The year before, teams needed a 10-6 record to get to the postseason.
Teams that sit on that 5-4 or 4-5 mark with seven games to go aren’t literally in “must win” mode -- but they are getting close to it.
That makes Week 11 a huge week for the 10 teams in that boat. There are also six teams at 3-6 that absolutely need a turnaround.
The Ravens (4-5) face the Packers (5-4), two teams trying to keep up with their divisional leaders.
Two NFC contenders on the ropes, the Redskins (4-5) and Falcons (5-4), are on the road against favored opponents.
The Cowboys (5-4) could really use a win when they host the NFC East-leading Eagles (8-1). Same goes for the Raiders (4-5), who head south of the border to face the Patriots (7-2).
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Teams with 3-6 records are on the cusp of elimination. There are four matchups featuring two teams with 4-5 and 3-6 records.
After this weekend, the Browns, 49ers and Giants will have company in the “maybe next year” grouping.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulated every NFL game 10,000 times and came up with final scores and projected player statistics.
Below are the matchups for Week 11 of the NFL, with projected final scores and statistics. Projections are updated every 10 minutes. SportsLine members can always get the latest computer projections on our NFL picks page.
Sunday, Nov. 19
WASHINGTON AT NEW ORLEANS, 1 P.M. ET
SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Saints 33, Redskins 23
Vegas line: The Saints are a 7.5-point favorite (O/U 51)
Projected Statistics: Drew Brees goes for 314 yards and 2.23 TDs passing, and Mark Ingram rushes for 80 yards for New Orleans. Kirk Cousins passes for 286 yards and 1.51 TDs for the Redskins.
KANSAS CITY AT N.Y. GIANTS, 1 P.M. ET
SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Chiefs 28, Giants 14
Vegas line: Kansas City opened at -13, with the line now at -10.5 (O/U 45)
Projected Statistics: Alex Smith throws for 277 yards and 1.67 TDs and Kareem Hunt runs for 73 yards to lead the Chiefs. Eli Manning passes for 229 yards, 1.09 TDs and 1.38 INTs and Evan Engram catches 5.2 balls for 68 yards to lead the Giants.
BALTIMORE AT GREEN BAY, 1 P.M. ET
SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Ravens 20, Packers 17
Vegas line: The Ravens are a 2-point road favorite (O/U 38)
Projected Statistics: Joe Flacco throws for 246 yards, 1.15 TDs and 1.44 INTs for Baltimore, while Brett Hundley passes for 155 yards and throws 2.29 INTs for Green Bay.
L.A. RAMS AT MINNESOTA, 1 P.M. ET
SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Vikings 23, Rams 22
Vegas line: The Vikings are favored by 2.5 at home (O/U 46)
Projected Statistics: Case Keenum throws for 216 yards and 1.46 TDs and Adam Thielen hauls in 60 receiving yards for the Vikings. For the Rams, Jared Goff passes for 230 yards and 1.34 TDs and Todd Gurley runs for 71 yards.
SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Cardinals 16, Texans 15
Vegas line: The Texans were a 1.5-point underdog to open, but are now a 1-point favorite (O/U 38.5)
Projected Statistics: Blaine Gabbert passes for 205 yards and Adrian Peterson runs for 60 for Arizona. Tom Savage passes for 143 yards with Lamar Miller rushes for 65 yards for Houston.
SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Lions 23, Bears 14
Vegas line: The Lions are favored by 3 on the road (O/U 41)
Projected Statistics: Matthew Stafford passes for 267 yards and 1.53 TDs and Golden Tate gets 62 receiving yards for Detroit. Mitchell Trubisky goes for 174 yards passing and Jordan Howard runs for 74 more for Chicago.
SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Dolphins 20, Buccaneers 18
Vegas line: The game is Pick ‘em; Miami was a 3-point underdog to open (O/U 41)
Projected Statistics: Jay Cutler throws for 252 yards and 1.47 TDs and DeVante Parker catches 5.4 passes for 70 yards for Miami. Ryan Fitzpatrick goes for 267 yards passing with 1.33 TDs and 1.35 INTs for the Bucs.
JACKSONVILLE AT CLEVELAND, 1 P.M. ET
SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Jaguars 23, Browns 12
Vegas line: The Jaguars are at -7.5 (O/U 37)
Projected Statistics: Blake Bortles throws for 222 yards and 1.46 TDs, Leonard Fournette runs for 75 yards and Marqise Lee gets 75 receiving yards for the Jags. For the Browns, DeShone Kizer passes for 146 yards.
BUFFALO AT L.A. CHARGERS, 4:05 P.M. ET
SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Chargers 21, Bills 18
Vegas line: The Chargers are favored by 4 at home (O/U 43.5)
Projected Statistics: Philip Rivers throws for 210 yards and 1.26 TDs with Keenan Allen catching 5.3 passes for 68 yards for L.A. Nathan Peterman passes for 141 yards, 0.86 TD and 0.43 INT for the Bills.
CINCINNATI AT DENVER, 4:25 P.M. ET
SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Broncos 19, Bengals 18
Vegas line: The Broncos are favored by 2.5 points (O/U 39)
Projected Statistics: Brock Osweiler passes for 174 yards, with Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas each getting 60 receiving yards for Denver. Andy Dalton goes for 207 yards passing for Cincy.
NEW ENGLAND VS. OAKLAND AT MEXICO CITY, 4:25 P.M. ET
SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Patriots 30, Raiders 19
Vegas line: The Patriots are at -7, from the opening of -5 (O/U 54)
Projected Statistics: Tom Brady throws for 320 yards and 2.07 TDs with Rob Gronkowski catches 5.1 balls for 76 yards for the Pats. Derek Carr goes for 263 yards and 1.28 TDs for Oakland, with Amari Cooper catching 4.9 passes for 65 yards.
PHILADELPHIA AT DALLAS, 8:30 P.M. ET
SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Eagles 26, Cowboys 22
Vegas line: The Eagles are at -4 (O/U 48.5)
Projected Statistics: Carson Wentz passes for 257 yards and 1.79 TDs for Philly, while Dak Prescott goes for 214 yards and 1.45 TDs for Dallas.
Monday, Nov. 20
ATLANTA AT SEATTLE, 8:30 P.M. ET
SportsLine Projection Model’s score: Seahawks 23, Falcons 19
Vegas line: Seattle is a 2.5-point home favorite (O/U 44.5)
Projected Statistics: Russell Wilson throws for 244 yards and 1.59 TDs with Doug Baldwin getting 64 receiving yards for Seattle. Matt Ryan passes for 278 yards and 1.26 TDs, with Julio Jones catching 6.1 passes for 89 yards to lead Atlanta.
So who should you pick in every Week 11 NFL game, including the big Patriots-Raiders AFC showdown? And what road team is poised to deliver a huge upset this week? Join SportsLine now to get every pick from the model that would have won over 96 percent of CBS office pool leagues last season, plus find out what home favorite is in for the shock of a lifetime.
Adam Thompson
