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Phillies vs. Mets line, odds, start time, picks, best bets for 2024 NLDS Game 3 matchup from proven model

SportsLine's projection model, which is on a profitable 32-17 run on top-rated MLB run-line picks, locked in its MLB picks for New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies in the 2024 NLDS on Tuesday

By@SportsLinePublished: Oct 08, 2024 7:02PM UTC . 2 min read

The NLDS series between the Phillies and Mets shifts to New York for Game 3 on Tuesday afternoon. The Mets took Game 1 on the road before Philadelphia claimed Game 2 thanks to a walk-off hit from Nick Castellanos, tying the series at 1-1. Aaron Nola (14-8, 3.57) will take the ball for the Phillies, while Sean Manaea (12-6, 3.47) toes the rubber for the Mets in this best-of-five series. New York won the regular season series 7-6.

First pitch is scheduled for 5:08 p.m. ET from Citi Field in Queens, N.Y. The Phillies are the -114 money-line favorites (risk $114 to win $100) in the latest Mets vs. Phillies odds, while the Mets are -106 underdogs. The over/under for total runs scored is 7 in the latest MLB odds via SportsLine consensus. 

Before you make any Mets vs. Phillies picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. Entering the 2024 MLB playoffs, it's on a 32-17 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+822) that dates back to last season. Anybody following has seen STRONG returns!

The model has simulated Game 3 of Mets vs. Phillies 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

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