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Padres vs. Tigers odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Sunday afternoon matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Sunday afternoon's matchup between the San Diego Padres and the Detroit Tigers

By@SportsLineUpdated: Jul 23, 2023 1:16PM UTC . 2 min read

The San Diego Padres and Detroit Tigers wrap up a weekend series with a matinee showdown at 12:05 p.m. ET on Sunday. San Diego is listed as a -240 favorite (risk $240 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 8.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). Before making any Padres vs. Tigers picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the All-Star break 46-34 (+194) on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks this season, going 11-2 (+604). Anybody following has seen big returns!

The model knows the Padres have Joe Musgrove on the mound, bringing a sizable advantage. Musgrove has a 3.08 ERA since the start of the 2021 season, including a 3.15 ERA in 15 starts this season. In 2023, Musgrove has 86 strikeouts and only 18 walks, and he has dominated in the last 10 outings with a 1.76 ERA in 61.1 innings. The model also knows Detroit has strong team speed with 17 triples. The Tigers are also facing a Padres offense that is in the bottom five in several offensive categories among National League teams, including batting average and total bases. 

Now, it has set its sights on Padres vs. Tigers. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one team has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

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