With a win in Week 17, the Minnesota Vikings look to set up a winner-take-all showdown in Week 18 as they host NFC North rival, the Green Bay Packers on Sunday afternoon. Minnesota (13-2) is tied with Detroit at the top of the division and NFC after a 27-24 road win in Seattle last week. The Vikings and Lions meet in Detroit next weekend with a division championship and playoff bye likely on the line. Green Bay (11-4) posted the first shutout of the 2024 regular season, a 34-0 romp over New Orleans on Monday night. The Packers have clinched a playoff spot and likely the NFC's No. 6 seed heading into the final two games of the regular season. Minnesota won this matchup, 31-29 in Week 4, holding off a frantic fourth quarter Green Bay rally. The Vikings are 10-4-1 against the spread, while the Packers are 9-6 ATS in 2024.

Kickoff from U.S. Bank Stadium is set for 4:25 p.m. ET. Minnesota is a 1-point favorite in the latest Vikings vs. Packers odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points is 48.5. Minnesota is a -116 money line favorite (risk $116 to win $100), while Green Bay is a -104 underdog. 

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The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 17 of the 2024 NFL season on a 28-12 hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year -- a stunning 70% success rate! Longer term, it is on a 208-140 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 62-33 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

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The model has simulated Packers vs. Vikings 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the total. It also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time!

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