The North Texas Mean Green and the Texas State Bobcats are set to square off in the 2025 First Responder Bowl on Friday in Dallas. North Texas enters with a 6-6 overall record, including a 3-5 record in AAC play. Texas State enters with a 7-5 overall record, including a 5-3 record in Sun Belt Conference games. Both teams lost several key players to the Transfer Portal. North Texas will be without starting quarterback Chandler Morris, wide receiver DT Sheffield, tight end Oscar Hammond, and center Tyler Mercer (among others). Texas State lost starting right tackle Alex Harkey, starting running back Ismail Mahdi, and starting cornerback Josh Eaton (among others).

Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET on Friday at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas. Texas State is favored by 13.5 points in the latest Texas State vs. North Texas odds, while the over/under is 65.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. 

Before entering any North Texas vs. Texas State picks or First Responder Bowl bets, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it went 43-35 on top-rated picks during the 2024 season. It also nailed all four winners in the first round of the College Football Playoff! Anyone following has seen impressive returns!

The model has simulated North Texas vs. Texas State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations!

So who wins Texas State vs. North Texas in the 2025 First Responders Bowl, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college football picks!