NL East, 2.0: There's been a major change at the top

Let's check back in on what the SportsLine Projection Model about the National League East, with an eye toward how things have changed since last time.

After all, Grapefruit League play is in full swing, and, as such, injuries are happening, and position battles are taking shape.

Time for a reset ...

Washington Nationals (93.9-68.1):  Last time, SportsLine tabbed the Nationals for 89 wins (rounded off) and second place in the division.

Obviously, the needle has moved since then. At shortstop, Trea Turner has seen more defensive innings this spring than Danny Espinosa has, so the promising youngster may be positioned to be the regular early in the season.

That's a good thing, since he projects better than Espinosa does.

Anthony Rendon has been healthy thus far and putting the bat on the ball.

Westgate has the Nationals' O/U at 88.5 wins, so SportsLine is higher on them by almost five wins.

There's some potential value there.

New York Mets (90.6-71.4):  Asdrubal Cabrera is going to lose roughly two weeks of spring with a knee strain, and it remains to be seen whether he'll be able to get in regular-season shape by Opening Day.

David Wright is once again limited by back problems as well, which is probably always going to be the case for the 33-year-old third baseman.

So it's probably those injury concerns that in part led SportsLine to fade the Mets by almost three wins since last time.

The young rotation is of course the fulcrum for this team, but infield depth may be a concern.

All that said, SportsLine still gives the Mets roughly a two in three chance of making the postseason.

Philadelphia Phillies (71.3-90.7):  SportsLine continues to be bullish on the Phillies relative to conventional wisdom.

Since Westgate pegs their 2016 O/U at 65.5 wins, there's a good opportunity here. After all, it's quite rare to find an almost eight-win spread between a projection model and a sportsbook over/under.

Don't be surprised if this team finishes fairly strong in 2016.

Aaron Nola will continue to develop at the front of the rotation, and top prospects like J.P. Crawford, Nick Williams, Jake Thompson, Jorge Alfaro, and Mark Appel may all reach the active roster at some point before September.

Miami Marlins (72.2-89.8):  Enter the injury concerns, and enter the more pessimistic forecast.

Carter Capps, who likely would've won the closer's job this spring, will miss the entire 2016 season after he undergoes Tommy John surgery.

Linchpin Giancarlo Stanton has been limited by right knee soreness as well. We all know about Stanton's staggering power, but his penchant for injury is already well-established.

Even with those spring developments, I feel SportsLine is a bit too bearish on Miami. The Marlins are a wait-and-see, depending upon how Stanton's knee responds over the remainder of camp.

Atlanta Braves (65.4-96.6):  SportsLine has improved the Braves' outlook a bit, but that's just movement at the margins.

The Braves are still tabbed as the worst team in baseball and still given a flat 0.0 percent chance of making the playoffs.

An under play? Westgate puts the Braves O/U at 67 wins, and Freddie Freeman -- rather easily the most valuable player on the Atlanta roster for 2016 -- has been limited by the same wrist that cost him so many games last season.