Week 5 is the first with byes, so there are four fewer teams to utilize in your Week 5 NFL survivor pool picks. Add in the four teams you've already used up and you could be down 25% of the possible teams for your survivor pools. The NFL lines don't make your NFL eliminator pool picks easier since just two teams are favored by more than six points. Still, there are several appealing contests to consider with Week 5 NFL knockout pools, including Bears vs. Panthers (+3.5), Dolphins vs. Patriots (-1), Packers vs. Rams (+3.5) and Seahawks vs. Giants (+6.5).

Before you make your Week 5 NFL survivor pool picks or NFL knockout pool picks, you NEED to see which team the SportsLine Projection Model is backing.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 188-131 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 42-23 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice.

In Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season, we can tell you the model is shying away from the Chiefs (-5, 42.5) versus New Orleans on Monday night, even though Kansas City is undefeated. The Chiefs won last week versus the Chargers, but they lost leading receiver Rashee Rice to a knee injury. Add in the absences of RB Isiah Pacheco and WR Hollywood Brown, and the offense may be putting entirely too much on Patrick Mahomes. Meanwhile, the Saints (2-2) just suffered a somewhat fluky loss to the Falcons in which New Orleans didn't allow an offensive touchdown. While the Chiefs are projected to win in nearly 60% of simulations, the model is saving Kansas City for another week.

Instead, the model is backing a SURPRISING team that wins outright in well over 70% of simulations! Picking this team will put you in the optimal position to win your NFL survivor pool. You NEED to see which team the model is backing before locking in your NFL survivor picks!

Which surprising team is the optimal Week 5 NFL survivor pool play? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the SportsLine Projection Model's shocking Week 5 NFL survivor pick, all from the model that is up well over $7,000 since its inception!