NFL Futures - Super Bowl 52 Odds from SportsLine's Computer Simulations
With NFL minicamps just around the corner, SportsLine's computers have been hard at work simulating the entire 2017 season.
They've already spit out projected win totals for every team, and now they're hard at work simulating the entire season 10,000 times and coming up with each team's chances of winning Super Bowl 52 next February.
Here are all 32 team's chances of hoisting the Lombardi Trophy:
New England Patriots – 34.2%
No surprise here. The Patriots overcame a historical 25-point deficit to win Super Bowl 51. They added Stephon Gilmore and Brandin Cooks. Championship.
Seattle Seahawks – 11.9%
A bit of a surprise that the Seahawks have the best chance of any NFC team of winning the Super Bowl. They added Eddie Lacy and should dominate their division.
Pittsburgh Steelers – 8.5%
The "Killer B's" will be back in full force this season and there's little reason to doubt they'll coast through a weak AFC North. Pittsburgh made the AFC Championship game last season.
Kansas City Chiefs – 7.2%
The Chiefs drafted Patrick Mahomes, but it looks like it'll still be Alex Smith under center. We're smelling an upset at RB, but a 7.2 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl seems aggressive.
Green Bay Packers – 6.2%
It all comes down to the effectiveness of the Packers' run game. Is BYU RB Jamaal Williams the answer? The Packers have shown that putting their season on Aaron Rodgers' shoulders isn't a winning formula.
Atlanta Falcons – 6.0%
The Falcons are the third-likeliest NFC team to win the Super Bowl, which is surprising considering the dominance they showed in February before halftime.
Dallas Cowboys – 4.3%
The Cowboys' scintillating 2016 season was derailed at the hands of Green Bay. It all comes down to whether we see a sophomore slump from Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott.
Arizona Cardinals – 3.6%
This could be the final season that Arizona is a contender. Carson Palmer and Larry Fitzgerald could both be retired next year. They drafted Haason Reddick to an already talented LB core.
Oakland Raiders – 2.4%
Surprising that the Raiders aren't higher since their offense hummed with a healthy Derek Carr. They lost Latavius Murray, but exchanged him for Beast Mode.
Denver Broncos – 2.2%
It looks like the Broncos' defense will once again carry the team. There are major question marks at both quarterback and running back.
Carolina Panthers – 2.0%
Christian McCaffrey will offer a whole new dynamic on offense, and a healthy Cam Newton, Greg Olsen, and Kelvin Benjamin could mean big things in Carolina.
Washington Redskins – 1.9%
Goodbye DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon. Hello Terrelle Pryor. Kirk Cousins is disgruntled and the backfield is up in the air – just another offseason in Washington.
Baltimore Ravens – 1.4%
The Ravens are just four years removed from a Super Bowl birth and seem like a dark horse to win it all. Joe Flacco is serviceable and their defense was top-10 in points allowed last season.
Minnesota Vikings – 1.3%
The Vikings lost Adrian Peterson, but gained Latavius Murray. Teddy Bridgewater is making progress, but it looks like it'll be the Sam Bradford show again this season.
Cincinnati Bengals – 1.0%
The Bengals haven't won a playoff game since the elder Bush was President. Andy Dalton's limitations and no complimentary receiver to AJ Green mean no Super Bowl.
Tennessee Titans – 0.9%
The Titans are a darling to win the Super Bowl, and they could very well win their division in a very weak AFC South. They have more upside than any divisional team and Corey Davis looks like a stud.
Houston Texans – 0.9%
The Texans drafted Deshaun Watson to be their QB of the future, but it looks like it's the Tom Savage show for now. Houston still has a Super Bowl-caliber defense.
New York Giants – 0.9%
Brandon Marshall, Odell Beckham, and Eli Manning – that's a formidable offense on paper. Whether it'll translate to on-the-field success determines the Giants' season.
New Orleans Saints – 0.9%
The Saints are fresh off their third straight 7-9 season and lost Brandin Cooks. There's not much to like, even a 38-year-old Drew Brees.
Buffalo Bills – 0.7%
There's only one thing standing in the way of the Bills making the playoffs: the Patriots. And even with a dominant run game, the Bills would need to make it as a wild card.
Indianapolis Colts – 0.6%
It's a bit surprising to see the Colts this far down. They have one of the top QB-WR combos in the NFL, but need to shore up their offensive line. They have a good shot at a playoff spot.
Philadelphia Eagles – 0.4%
The Eagles picked up Alshon Jeffery, LeGarrette Blount, and Torrey Smith. They could give Dallas a run for their money in the NFC East and should be higher on this list.
Detroit Lions – 0.4%
There's not much to like here. Green Bay is a force in their division. They don't have a run game. They also have no proven No. 1 receiver.
Jacksonville Jaguars – 0.1%
The Jags have upside, but we say that every year. Blake Bortles has proven he's not a championship QB.
Miami Dolphins – 0.1%
The Dolphins showed signs of life last year when they won 10 games. Feeding Jay Ajayi and playing stout defense could land them in the playoffs. They should have a better chance of winning it all than the Browns.
New York Jets – 0.1%
Josh McCown is the starting QB. Brandon Marshall is on the Giants. There's instability at running back and defense.
Los Angeles Chargers – 0.1%
The Chargers will get Keenan Allen back, but lost Danny Woodhead to the Ravens. In a wide open AFC West, LA should be higher on this list.
Cleveland Browns – 0.1%
Oh the Browns. The QB battle featuring Cody Kessler, Kevin Hogan, Brock Osweiler, and DeShone Kizer should be thrilling to watch. Expect Kizer to start games at some point.
Chicago Bears – 0.1%
The Bears paid Mike Glennon $18 million and then traded the farm to get Mitchell Trubisky. Their best WR is on the Eagles, Cam Meredith has the dropsies, and Kevin White can't stay healthy.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 0.1%
It's surprising to see the Bucs with the same Super Bowl odds as the Bears and Browns. They brought in DeSean Jackson and drafted OJ Howard. They could have one of the highest-scoring offenses in the NFL in a wide open NFC South.
San Francisco 49ers – 0.1%
Brian Hoyer is under center. Carlos Hyde is on the outs. Pierre Garcon is their best receiver. On the positive side, Solomon Thomas and Rueben Foster could help lock down the defensive side of the ball.
Los Angeles Rams – 0.1%
Jared Goff can only get better in year two, right? This team was an unmitigated disaster last season and will struggle to win five games in the rough-and-tumble NFC West.
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