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Nuggets vs. Thunder odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA playoff matchup on May 5, 2025

The SportsLine Projection Model, up well over $10,000 on NBA picks over the past six seasons, has locked in its bets for Game 1 of the Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder in the 2025 NBA playoffs on Monday

By@SportsLineUpdated: May 05, 2025 2:07AM UTC . 2 min read

The No. 1 seed Oklahoma City Thunder hosts the No. 4 seed Denver Nuggets in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals on Monday. The Thunder swept the Memphis Grizzlies 4-0 and cruised into the second round. On the other side, the Nuggets beat the Los Angeles Clippers in seven games to advance. 

Tipoff from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. The Thunder are 9.5-point favorites in the latest Nuggets vs. Thunder odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 225. Oklahoma City is -427 on the money line (risk $427 to win $100), while Denver is priced at +330 (risk $100 to win $330). 

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Before making any Nuggets vs. Thunder picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second full week of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 22-11 (67%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is going Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations!

Who wins Nuggets vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 156-116 roll on top-rated NBA picks!

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