The New Mexico State Aggies (10-4) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4) match up in the 2023 New Mexico Bowl on Saturday. The Aggies fell to Liberty 49-35 in the CUSA Championship Game. On the other sideline, Fresno State lost 33-18 to San Diego State on Nov. 25. 

Kickoff at University Stadium is set for 5:45 p.m. ET. New Mexico State is a 3-point favorite in the latest New Mexico State vs. Fresno State odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 52. Before you make any New Mexico State vs. Fresno State picks of your own, you NEED to see what SportsLine CFB expert Mike Tierney has to say.

A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered football for decades. He is an amazing 10-2 on his last 12 picks in games involving the Bulldogs, returning $780! Anyone who has followed him is WAY UP!

Tierney knows Fresno State sophomore quarterback Mikey Keene owns the field vision and arm talent to consistently push the ball downfield. Keene has thrown for 2,596 passing yards and 21 passing touchdowns. The UCF transfer notched at least 250 yards in six games. On Nov. 4 against Boise State, Keene tallied 290 yards and one passing score.

The expert also is aware that New Mexico State junior quarterback Diego Pavia is a dual-threat playmaker. Pavia plays with outstanding rhythm and uses his legs to pick up easy yards. The New Mexico native has thrown for 2,915 passing yards, 856 rushing yards, and 32 total scores. In his last game, Pavia threw for 188 yards, ran for 45 yards, and compiled four total touchdowns.

Now Tierney has locked in on New Mexico State vs. Fresno State. We can tell you he's leaning Under the point total and he's found a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread! You NEED to see his analysis before locking in any New Mexico State vs. Fresno State picks of your own.

Who wins New Mexico State vs. Fresno State on Saturday? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread hit HARD? ... Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on NOW, all from the expert on an OUTSTANDING 10-2 run on picks involving the Bulldogs!