The No. 7 seed Golden State Warriors and the No. 6 seed Minnesota Timberwolves collide in Game 1 of the 2025 Western Conference semifinals Tuesday. The Timberwolves sent the Los Angeles Lakers packing in five games, while the Warriors knocked off the Houston Rockets in seven games. This will be the first-ever playoff series between the two franchises.

Tipoff from Target Center in Minnesota is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. The Timberwolves are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 210.5. Minnesota is priced at -255 on the money line (risk $255 to win $100), with Golden State listed at +207 (risk $100 to win $207).

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The model has simulated Warriors vs. Timberwolves 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is going Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

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