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Mets vs. Yankees line, odds, start time, spread pick, best bets for Tuesday's matchup from proven model

SportsLine's projection model, which is on a 53-44 run on top-rated MLB picks, has locked in its MLB picks for the New York Mets and New York Yankees on Tuesday night

By@SportsLinePublished: Jul 23, 2024 9:56PM UTC . 3 min read

The New York Mets (51-48) and the New York Yankees (60-42) meet in the first of a two-game interleague series on Tuesday night. The Mets won the first two meetings this season at Citi Field last month.

First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium in New York. The Yankees are the -155 money line favorites (risk $155 to win $100) in the latest Mets vs. Yankees odds, while the Mets are the +131 underdogs. The over/under for total runs scored is 9 in the latest MLB odds via SportsLine consensus. 

Before you make any Mets vs. Yankees picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It entered Week 18 of the 2024 MLB season 53-44 on all-top rated MLB picks this season. Dating back to last season, it is on a 24-11 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+877). Anybody following has seen STRONG returns!

The model knows Juan Soto has been red hot. In Monday's 9-1 win over the Tampa Bay Rays, he was 3-for-5 with a double, two homers and four RBI. In the four-game series with Tampa Bay, Soto was a blistering 11-for-18 (.611) with four doubles, two homers and five RBI. In 98 games this season, he is batting .311 with 19 doubles, four triples, 25 homers and 71 RBI.

The model also knows left-hander Jose Quintana (4-6, 4.13 ERA) will start for the Mets. Quintana has won three of his last four decisions, including a 7-5 victory over Washington on July 9. In that game, he pitched seven innings, allowing just one hit and one walk, while striking out five. In his last outing, he took the loss in an 8-5 defeat at Colorado on July 14. In that game, he allowed six hits, five earned runs and one walk, while striking out eight.

The model has simulated Mets vs. Yankees 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

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