The New York Mets (44-44) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (42-47) finish their four-game series on Monday afternoon. On Sunday, New York defeated the Pirates 3-2, winning their second straight game over Pittsburgh.

First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The Pirates are the -121 money-line favorites (risk $121 to win $100) in the latest Mets vs. Pirates odds, while New York is a +102 underdog. The over/under for total runs scored is 8.5 in the latest MLB odds via SportsLine consensus. 

Before you make any Mets vs. Pirates picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It entered Week 15 of the 2024 MLB season a profitable 44-34 on all-top rated MLB picks this season. Dating back to last season, it is on a 22-8 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+935). Anybody following has seen STRONG returns!

The model knows New York first baseman Pete Alonso is a powerful slugger. He is batting .243 with a team-high 18 home runs and 48 RBI. On Friday, he went 2-for-3 with a double. 

The model also knows Pittsburgh left fielder Bryan Reynolds is a two-way playmaker. Reynolds has a solid swing and the awareness to stay patient at the plate. He leads the team in batting average (.281), home runs (16), and RBI (54). 

The model has simulated Mets vs. Pirates 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

Who wins Mets vs. Pirates, and which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the money line you should be all over, all from the model on a 22-8 roll on top-rated MLB picks!