The Dallas Mavericks take on the Golden State Warriors in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals at 9 p.m. ET on Friday. Golden State is favored by six points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 213.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Mavericks vs. Warriors picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from SportsLine expert Matt Severance.

A well-connected writer and handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005, Severance is on a stunning run: He is a blistering 87-34 his last 121 NBA money line picks, returning over $3,100 to $100 bettors during that span. Anyone who has followed him is WAY UP.

The expert knows the Mavericks are elite in ball security. Dallas is committing only 10.5 turnovers per game in the playoffs, and that leads to only 11.7 points off turnovers per game for the opposition. The Mavericks are also shooting well from three-point range at 37.2 percent, and Golden State's defensive rebounding has been below-average in the playoffs. From there, Luka Doncic is averaging 30.5 points and 9.8 rebounds per game in the playoffs as arguably the best player in the tournament.

He is also aware that the Warriors held the Mavericks to less than a point per possession in Game 1. Even if that regresses, Golden State's offense is tremendously effective. Golden State had seven players in double figures in the series opener, shooting 56 percent as a team. The Warriors are scoring more than 1.14 points per possession in the playoffs and leading the league in both assists (27.5 per game) and assist percentage (65.1 percent).

Now, Severance has set his sights on Mavericks vs. Warriors. We can tell you he is leaning under the total, and he's found a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side! You ABSOLUTELY need to see what he has to say before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Mavericks vs. Warriors? And what critical x-factor makes one side a must-back? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Mavericks vs. Warriors spread you should be all over Friday, all from the expert on a roll on NBA picks!