The Golden State Warriors host the Dallas Mavericks in a crucial Game 5 battle in the Western Conference Finals on Thursday night at 9 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as the 6.5-point favorite in the latest Mavericks vs. Warriors odds, while the Over-Under is set at 215 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Mavericks vs. Warriors picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the conference finals of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Dallas forward Dorian Finney-Smith is an athletic and versatile presence in the frontcourt. Finney-Smith is a solid defender and slasher who owns a reliable jump shot. The Florida product is constantly hustling and is a team-first guy. He's logging 11.6 points, 5.6 rebounds, and is shooting 43 percent from deep. In his last outing, Finney-Smith had 23 points, six rebounds and knocked down four 3-pointers. 

The model also knows Golden State guard Jordan Poole has a versatile offensive game. Poole can score from all three levels with regularity and owns a smooth jumper. The Michigan product has the ball handles and court vision to set his teammates up as well. Poole is averaging 18.5 points, three rebounds, and 4.4 assists per game. He logged 14 points and four assists in his last outing. 

Now, it has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Warriors. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks of your own.

Who wins Mavericks vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of Mavericks vs. Warriors spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!