The fourth-seeded Dallas Mavericks battle the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder in an NBA Cup Western Conference quarterfinal matchup on Tuesday night. Dallas went 3-1 to finish second in Group C, while Oklahoma City was 3-1 to win Group B. The Mavericks (16-8), who is tied for second with Houston in the Southwest Division, are 8-5 on the road this season. The Thunder (18-5), first in the Northwest Division, are 9-2 on their home floor. Dallas eliminated OKC in last year's playoffs, 4-2, and won the lone matchup earlier this season.

Tip-off from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. The Thunder are 4-point favorites in the latest Mavericks vs. Thunder odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 230. OKC is at -184 (risk $184 to win $100) on the money line, while Dallas is at +152 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

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The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations!

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