The Golden State Warriors host the Los Angeles Lakers for Game 1 of a best-of-seven showdown at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Golden State is favored by 4.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 227 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Lakers vs. Warriors picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the conference semifinals of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Lakers are excelling on defense in recent days. Led by Anthony Davis, Los Angeles allowed only 102.8 points per 100 possessions in the first round. The Lakers also posted a top-five defensive efficiency mark after the All-Star break, and no team gave up fewer free throw attempts (20.8 per game) over the course of the 2022-23 season than Los Angeles. 

The model also knows Golden State is a different team at home, out-scoring opponents by 7.7 points per 100 possessions during the regular season. The Warriors also have a dynamic player in Stephen Curry, who is coming off a 50-point explosion in Game 7 against the Kings. Curry averaged 33.7 points per game with 62.1% true shooting in the first round. 

Now, it has set its sights on Lakers vs. Warriors. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Lakers vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Lakers vs. Warriors spread you should be all over Tuesday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!