The Miami Heat will host the Los Angeles Lakers in a key interconference matchup at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Miami is a 1-point favorite in the latest Lakers vs. Heat odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 222.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before you make any Heat vs. Lakers or NBA picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five seasons. The model enters Week 3 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a 79-42 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model knows Miami guard Tyler Herro has been on fire to start the season. He leads the team, averaging 25.8 points per game, and is also averaging 5.7 rebounds, five assists and 1.2 steals. He is connecting on 45.3% of his field goals, including 45.1% from 3-point range, and is an 88.9% free-throw shooter. Herro has scored 30 or more points in two games this season, including a season-high 35 against the Milwaukee Bucks in a 122-114 loss on Oct. 30.

The model has also factored in that Lakers power forward Anthony Davis has played in six games this season, all starts, and is averaging a double-double. He has dominated with 26.3 points, 13 rebounds, 3.7 blocks, 3.2 assists and 1.2 steals per game. In a 106-103 win over Orlando on Oct. 30, he scored 26 points, while grabbing 19 rebounds. He scored 30 points in back-to-back games against the Kings and Suns late last month.

The model has simulated Lakers vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits 60% of the time!

Who wins Heat vs. Lakers, and which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out who you should be all over on Monday, all from the model on a 79-42 roll on top-rated NBA picks!