The Utah Jazz visit the Dallas Mavericks for Game 1 of a first round series in the 2022 NBA playoffs at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday. Utah is favored by 5.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 208.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Jazz vs. Mavericks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 85-55 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,400. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Jazz are elite on offense. Utah leads the league in offensive rating, scoring more than 1.16 points per possession. The Jazz convert 47.1 percent of field goal attempts, including the No. 2 mark in the NBA in 2-point accuracy at 56.8 percent. Utah is in the top four of the NBA in 3-pointers per game (14.5 per game) and free throw attempts (23.4 per game), with elite metrics on the offensive glass. The Jazz secure 30 percent of missed shots and produce 14.9 second-chance points per game.

The model also knows the Mavericks are playing extremely well on defense. Dallas is No. 7 in the NBA in defensive efficiency, allowing 109.1 points per 100 possessions. The Mavericks lead the league in 3-pointers allowed (10.9 per game), with a top-five mark in 3-point accuracy allowed at 34.0 percent. Dallas is in the top 10 of the NBA in free throw attempts allowed, assists allowed and defensive rebound rate.

Now, it has set its sights on Jazz vs. Mavericks. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Jazz vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Jazz vs. Mavericks spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!