A week ago I stayed in wait-and-see mode on a few plays and got burned for it. Maybe it happens again. But I still believe that with the forecast looking pretty good for Kansas City – at least by late January standards – and given all that Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes have accomplished in the playoffs, the total gets closer to 50. It's been steady at 47.5.

I really want to play the Under, but I'm waiting on more value. Mahomes continues to be heavy to the Under at home since the start of last season (14-5) and the K.C. defense is as tuned up as ever. The Bills' play-calling seems timid, and good luck rolling up big points on this version of the Chiefs at Arrowhead. We'll see if the number goes up.

I want to get a full 7 points for Commanders-Eagles and I don't want to have to pay a premium for it. Again, we'll se how the money comes in and whether or not I end up jumping on a 6.5.

Either way, you'll find the plays I've already locked in below.

Before you make your NFL Championship Round picks, you'll want to see what Jason La Canfora has to say. La Canfora has broken the games down and found a number of best bets, including plays for both the AFC and NFC Championship Games. You NEED to see his analysis before locking in any NFL picks of your own. 

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What are La Canfora's play for Commanders-Eagles and Bills-Chiefs? Join SportsLine right now to see all of Jason La Canfora's best bets!